Post by clayk on Mar 2, 2023 11:06:50 GMT -5
>Lottery picks will get $74,305. Other first round picks will get $71,300. Second rounders get $65,290 while third round picks would get $62,285.
So a quality Power 5 post player can earn $100,000 or more in NIL money. A star, presumably, can make double that.
I don't know exactly how much young players earn in Europe, but I've heard that $150,000 is not unusual. (I would love to have some data on that.)
I can't find any research on what percentage of WNBA draftees make WNBA rosters in their first two years, but it would seem about half of the first-rounders do and maybe 25% of second-rounders. But let's say it's 75% and 50%, for a 62.5% chance of a draftee making around $70,000 from the WNBA, and presumably enough overseas to bring the total to $250,000.
How much would South Carolina boosters pay Aliyah Boston? How much would Iowa boosters pay Caitlin Clark?
I'm guessing if Boston and Clark said "I'll come back for another year for $250,000," the money would be there.
Now let's take a Diamond Miller or Jordan Horston. Both are assured of making a team, barring disaster, and they may not get that $250,000 from the college that they'd get overseas. So that tier of talent -- say the third through seventh picks -- probably loses money staying in school.
But then the next group down becomes more problematic for the WNBA. Their chances of making a roster are 50-50, say, so they can "count" on $35,000 from the W and maybe $150,000 overseas. These players are college stars, and difference-makers at that level. Will boosters give them $200,000? If so, why would they leave? And even a sure $150,000 is better than not making a WNBA roster and maybe getting $125,000 overseas.
It would be great to have some actual data on all this, but I do think it's possible that it would make more financial sense for a significant number of WNBA draftees to stay in college as long as possible rather than turn pro. Of course there are other considerations aside from money, but still ...
So a quality Power 5 post player can earn $100,000 or more in NIL money. A star, presumably, can make double that.
I don't know exactly how much young players earn in Europe, but I've heard that $150,000 is not unusual. (I would love to have some data on that.)
I can't find any research on what percentage of WNBA draftees make WNBA rosters in their first two years, but it would seem about half of the first-rounders do and maybe 25% of second-rounders. But let's say it's 75% and 50%, for a 62.5% chance of a draftee making around $70,000 from the WNBA, and presumably enough overseas to bring the total to $250,000.
How much would South Carolina boosters pay Aliyah Boston? How much would Iowa boosters pay Caitlin Clark?
I'm guessing if Boston and Clark said "I'll come back for another year for $250,000," the money would be there.
Now let's take a Diamond Miller or Jordan Horston. Both are assured of making a team, barring disaster, and they may not get that $250,000 from the college that they'd get overseas. So that tier of talent -- say the third through seventh picks -- probably loses money staying in school.
But then the next group down becomes more problematic for the WNBA. Their chances of making a roster are 50-50, say, so they can "count" on $35,000 from the W and maybe $150,000 overseas. These players are college stars, and difference-makers at that level. Will boosters give them $200,000? If so, why would they leave? And even a sure $150,000 is better than not making a WNBA roster and maybe getting $125,000 overseas.
It would be great to have some actual data on all this, but I do think it's possible that it would make more financial sense for a significant number of WNBA draftees to stay in college as long as possible rather than turn pro. Of course there are other considerations aside from money, but still ...
That is, of course, the problem with small samples. The deal may have also been an enticement to get her to transfer as well. That said she was 13th of players whose deal was disclosed. Who knows what went undisclosed? 
